And, now Cyprus too!? 2015: Is it the year of beginning of change in World Order?

The events in Europe are taking place at such a rapid pace, it is hard to pin the focus on any one of them. So many problems are beginning to boil up rapidly.

First, there is a festering problem of Ukraine which seems to be entering in sort of final ending. There are three possibilities in which this conflict could end – one Ukraine breaks apart which is the most possible outcome; two, eastern breakaway regions agree to stay in some sort of federalization plan (which is unlikely); and the third scenario, the conflict remains frozen which would simply become hot again. Any which way, Ukraine is Kaput and its economic and social disintegration is on the cards. France and Germany are giving their best – which is their Hail Mary attempt, a final try to prevent all hell from breaking loose – to solve the problem by trying to hammer out a deal that envisages 50-70 km wide demilitarized zone and the greater autonomy for eastern region.

Whether the deal takes place or not, nobody knows. But by all accounts, this seems to be just a farce.  And, if the deal does not happen, Ukraine would cease to be a State. As it is, Ukrainian economy is circling the drain. Manufacturing has ground to a halt. Its foreign exchange reserves are fast vanishing just like its gold reserves which vanished much earlier. Its currency, Hryvnia, has started to fly like a kite. IMF has declined additional loans citing warlike conditions in its eastern regions and lack of reforms – a diplomatic way of saying “get lost”.

Europeans are losing patience and waking up to the fact that this regime of neo-nazis is a threat to the entire Europe. For the odious Poroshenko regime, these conditions are like the gathering of the ominous clouds. It has already suffered one debacle in the Ilovaisk sector. It is now facing another debacle in the Debaltsevo cauldron. 

Resistance is also beginning to grow for the mobilization drives. Population is becoming aware of the horrific deaths that are happening in the name of anti-terror operation. The morale of the military is absolutely low. Add one more debacle – in the form of Debaltsevo – and the writing on wall would be clear for Poroshenko regime – either flee abroad or face the war crimes trial that would come if Novorossian armed forces reach Kiev. In addition, the regime would also have to worry about equally odious oligarchs who would be out for his blood.

In any case, it seems the conditions are ripening for another Maidan. Poroshenko is certainly in a jam and hence, the dash to Moscow by Hollande and Merkel to try and save Poroshenko. With Zakarchenko, Donetsk Republic's Prime Minister, announcing general mobilization to raise the army strength to the tune of 100,000, the urgency of the Hollande and Merkel's visit to Moscow becomes apparent.

The victories of Novorossian armed forces would simply trigger independence movement in other eastern regions like Odessa, Nikolaev, Kharkov etc., along with Trans-Carpathian region in the west. The eastern regions – mostly Russian speaking – would become part of Novorossia and the western region could get divided between Hungary and Poland.  The only thing that would remain is the rump state, full of neo-nazi Banderites; ready to export their brand hatred to every corner of Europe.

Then there is a talk of lethal arms supplies to Kiev regime by warmongering Americans. Russia has openly stated that this would be a grave aggravation of the conflict and it would respond properly. Perhaps, this is what the warmongers in Washington want – a Russian intervention would kick-start cold war 2.0 and drive the wedge between Europe and Russia. It would prevent strong trade relations between Europe and Russia and also prevent the rise of Eurasian union – a growing threat to US hegemony. Europe would be firmly and perpetually under the thumb of America.

But do they – the Americans – realize what kind of genie they would be letting out of the bottle by supplying weapons to Ukraine? When you look at all the fiascos - ranging from Afghanistan, Iraq, Syria, Libya etc. – the answer is sadly no. Their idea of the world is Unipolar with them acting as the decider of the destinies of every nation on planet earth. The idea of the sovereignties and cultures of other nations do not simply exist in their unipolar vision of the world. To USA, the principle is only “do as we say and only up to the point that we like”. Any transgression beyond that would be swiftly met with sanctions to bring the “recalcitrant” country back under the fold.

Putin has blasted this kind of world order and stated bluntly that Russia will not accept such world order dictated by a single country and its leader. But, warmongers in Washington are deaf to such statements and only believe in their exceptionalism.

Another problem looming on the horizon is Greece, which is kind of playing Shakespeare's ‘to be or not to be’ – would it exit the Eurozone or would it remain in the Eurozone? Over the last few days, the positions of both the Greek government and ECB have hardened. Greece is threatening to bolt the Eurozone – which was one of the item in SYRIZA's election platform – if its debt is not restructured and the haircut it is proposing is not accepted – in short, debt write-off.

Germany has bluntly refused to do so. ECB now has given an ultimatum to Greece to come up with some kind of debt deal or face the denial of access to capital from ECB. It has taken the Greek sovereign bonds off asset category. For Greece, this amounts to further humiliation and Alexis Tsipras has simply threatened to say bye-bye to Eurozone.

Greece's moves are closely watched by other countries of PIIGS – Portugal, Ireland, Italy and Spain with Italy possibly going to be the next candidate to exit Eurozone. Many financial websites are abuzz with what would happen if Greece exits Eurozone. It would certainly be the end of Euro. It could also take down many banks creating a financial catastrophe in the already recession hit Europe. For Greece, it does not matter. It would simply exit the Eurozone and float its own currency – Drachma. In the short run, it would face immense difficulties but in the long run, it would go on to prosper.

But there is another interesting factor at play. If Greece needs funding, Russia has stated that it would be pleased to consider Greek government's request for funding. This is what – it is my guess - the foreign ministers of three countries – Russia, China and India – must have discussed at their recent January 31st meeting in Beijing. BRICS bank could step in. And, that would be like an asteroid strike – beginning of the complete destruction of IMF, dollar and US hegemony i.e. existing world order.

Imagine Greece asking for finance and Russia providing it in a currency that would certainly not be dollars. The eggheads and boneheads of the western world and NATO must be having sleepless nights. Because that would mean a crisis for NATO as well since Greece is a member of NATO. And, SYRIZA party's platform calls for exiting NATO – an organization which has evolved from its earlier role as the one to counter Warsaw pact countries to its current role as a tool for neo-imperialist to maintain the western hegemony on the world. And if Greece turns towards Shanghai Cooperation Organization, that would be extremely tantalizing.  Greece has also openly opposed the sanctions on Russia. Things are thus getting quite interesting.

As if this much is not enough, now Cyprus has made its move. Cyprus which is a member of European Union and Eurozone has announced that it is ready to host Russian naval and air bases.

Russiais reportedly getting military bases in an EU state Cypriot President Nicos Anastasiades announced that the country is ready to host Russian aviation and naval bases. The official agreement on military cooperation between the two nations is expected be signed on February 25, 2015, according to Lenta.ru. … Notably, Cyprus is one of the 28-member states in the EU, which have been imposing sanctions on Russia over the past year in response to the actions in Ukraine.  And just like Greece has recently caused a stir by complicating the process of extending sanctions on Russia, Cyprus, too, just voiced some opposition to the additional sanctions on Russia, adding that many EU members share that opinion. "We want to avoid further deterioration of relations between Russia and the European Union," the Cypriot President reportedly said. So military cooperation between Cyprus and Russia is yet another red flag for the EU. ...

First it was Turkey – a NATO member – which signed a deal with Russia for natural gas pipeline and expressed interest in Shanghai Cooperation Organization. Then comes Greece which is also warming up to Russia. And, now Cyprus comes along – following Turkey's and Greece's steps – warming up to Russia. And most interesting, all of them are NATO members. 

Things sure don't look good for the empire. France and Germany are openly pivoting towards Russia over Ukraine. US want to supply weapons to the freak show in Ukraine while France and Germany are strongly opposed to such a move fearing a wider conflict. US have also come out on the side of Greece regarding its debt stance which has angered Germany, which is taking a harder stance against Greece.

A schism is thus opening between the Europe and USA which is signaling the beginning of the decline of the US Empire. And if empire is in decline then what about its currency? Empire would not let go of its status that easily. So, how it would react remains to be seen. The humanity needs to be on guard.

2015 is sure turning out to be an interesting year.

Update:

Now Cyprus foreign minister has come forward and denied that Cyrus is offering Russia military bases.

Establishing Russian military base in Cyprus out of the question — Cyprus FM The minister stressed that Cyprus’ seaports and airports can be used by Russian warships and warplanes in non-military operations ….. BRUSSELS, February 9. /TASS/. The issue of establishing Russian naval or military bases in Cyprus has never been considered, Cyprus’ Foreign Minister Ioannis Kasoulidis said on Monday on the sidelines of the European Union Foreign Affairs Council meeting in Brussels. "Besides, there has never been any request from Russia about this", he told Cyprus News Agency. …..airports and seaports of Cyprus may be available to Russian warplanes and ships in emergency situations and humanitarian operations. In fact, the two counties are updating their effective bilateral military agreement.

That to me looks like a pivot to Russia but not so openly so as not to antagonize “friends”. But it is a pivot.

Seems the world is yearning to breathe freedom by throwing off the oppressive chains of the western world - led by the Hegemon - which is choking them.

PS:

Seems the day of reckoning for the empire and its dollar as world reserve currency is fast approaching.

Moscow & Cairo to drop USD, use national currencies in bilateral trade – Putin ….. Russia and Egypt might soon exclude the US dollar and use their national currencies in the settlement of accounts in bilateral trade, Russian President Vladimir Putin said in an interview to Egyptian media ahead of his Monday visit to the country. The issue of abandoning the dollar in trade is “being actively discussed,” Putin told Al-Ahram daily newspaper ahead of his two-day trip to Egypt. The Russian president was invited for a bilateral meeting by his Egyptian counterpart Abdul Fattah al-Sisi. “This measure will open up new prospects for trade and investment cooperation between our countries, reduce its dependence on the current trends in the world markets,” Putin said. “I should note that we already use national currencies for trade with a number of the CIS [Commonwealth of Independent States] states, and China. This practice proves its worth; we are ready to adopt it in our relations with Egypt as well. This issue is being discussed in substance by relevant agencies of both countries.”