Saturday, September 12, 2026

BRICS – De-dollarization, Effect on Foreign Exchange Reserves of India & Composition of Foreign Exchange Reserves.

De-dollarisation debate

India handles the de-dollarisation debate through a strategy of cautious, pragmatic optionality. Rather than attempting to overthrow or replace the US dollar, India focuses on promoting local currency trade settlements and building alternative digital payment infrastructures to protect its own economic interests.

India explicitly draws a line between practical financial resilience and political anti-Western posturing, rejecting radical ideas like a single, unified BRICS currency.

🏛️ 1. Absolute Rejection of a Single "BRICS Currency"

India has been the most vocal opponent within the bloc against creating a unified BRICS currency to rival the greenback.


  • The Official Stance: Union Commerce Minister Piyush Goyal explicitly stated that "India is not in favour of a BRICS currency" and opposes any such scheme. 
  • Protecting the Rupee: India fears a unified currency would be disproportionately backed by China's massive economy, effectively making it a proxy for the Chinese Yuan. India has no intention of trading dependency on the US Dollar for dependency on Beijing.
  • Preserving Global Stability: External Affairs Minister S. Jaishankar clarified that India does not have a policy to replace the dollar. New Delhi views the US dollar as a vital anchor of global economic stability.

 💱 2. Promoting "Local Currency Settlement" (LCS)

Instead of a single currency, India aggressively champions the use of national, local currencies for bilateral trade.

 

  • Bypassing the Dollar Trap: The Reserve Bank of India (RBI) has allowed international trade settlements directly in Indian Rupees (INR). This was prominently put to use for oil imports from Russia, bypassing the traditional dollar-denominated SWIFT system following Western sanctions. 
  • Expanding Global Footprint: The RBI has permitted banks from over 30 trading partner nations to open Special Rupee Vostro Accounts (SRVAs), allowing trade to be settled directly in Rupees and their respective native currencies.

💻 3. The Digital Alternative: Linking CBDCs

As the host of the September 2026 BRICS Summit in New Delhi, India is shifting the de-dollarisation conversation away from currency politics and toward technological integration.

 

  • Interoperable Central Bank Digital Currencies (CBDCs): The RBI has formally proposed linking the official digital currencies of BRICS nations. 
  • The Objective: Under Prime Minister Modi, India favors using its Digital Rupee network to connect with other member states' CBDCs for cross-border trade and tourism. The goal is purely transactional efficiency—reducing settlement times and cross-border costs—while stopping short of creating a unified payments network that could be interpreted as an aggressive, anti-dollar alliance.

⚖️ 4. Balancing Act: Managing the "Trump Factor" and China

India’s strategy is heavily influenced by the need to balance its geopolitical alliances:


  • Avoiding US Retaliation: The US administration under Donald Trump has previously warned BRICS nations against attempts to replace the US Dollar, threatening 100% tariffs on countries trying to sidestep it. India's public distance from the term "de-dollarisation" protects its highly lucrative trade relationship with the United States. 
  • Strategic Autonomy: By keeping the focus on local currencies and digital public infrastructure (DPI), India maintains its "strategic autonomy". It provides insurance against future Western sanctions without souring ties with the West or allowing China to hijack the narrative.

The volume of import export settled in respective currencies within BRICS nations – year wise break up in USD.

The exact, official year-by-year transaction ledger for local currency volumes within BRICS is not published as a single consolidated database. This is because these numbers are calculated via disjointed bilateral trade data (e.g., India–Russia Rupee-Ruble trade, China–Russia Yuan-Ruble trade).

However, macro-financial data from UNCTAD, TV BRICS, and the Sk Fintech Hub track total intra-bloc trade against the percentage share settled in local currencies. By mapping these metrics, the year-wise progression of non-dollar trade within the bloc is evident:

 📈 Global Trend: Total vs. Local Currency Trade (in USD)

Prior to 2022, local currency usage within BRICS was minor (averaging under 10–15% of transactions), with the US Dollar heavily dominating trade invoicing. The landscape shifted radically in 2022 following Western sanctions on Russia, forcing a swift move toward national currencies.


Year

Total Intra-BRICS Trade Volume (in USD)

Estimated Share Settled in Local Currencies

Calculated Local Currency Volume (in USD)

2021

~$760 Billion

~15%

~$114 Billion

2022

~$900 Billion

~30%

~$270 Billion

2023

~$1.03 Trillion

~45%

~$463 Billion

2024

$1.17 Trillion

~60%

~$702 Billion

2025

$1.10+ Trillion

67%

~$737 Billion

2026 (Est.)

~$1.20 Trillion

70%+

~$840 Billion+

 🔍 Key Drivers Breakdown

1. The China–Russia Axis (The Primary Driver)

The massive spike in local currency figures is predominantly driven by Russia and China. By 2024–2025, over 90% of all bilateral trade between Russia and China was completely settled in either Russian Rubles or Chinese Yuan (Renminbi), effectively removing the US dollar from a bilateral trade architecture valued at over $240 billion annually.

2. India's Pragmatic Approach

India's volume is more calculated. While India has set up Special Rupee Vostro Accounts (SRVAs) with more than 20 countries to clear trade in Indian Rupees (INR), the implementation has run into structural imbalances: 

  • The Russia Rupee Surplus: India imported massive volumes of crude oil from Russia settled in INR. However, because Russia's imports from India are low, Russia accumulated billions in excess Indian Rupees that it struggled to spend, causing both nations to redirect parts of the trade to the UAE Dirham (AED) or Chinese Yuan. 
  • The Dollar Preference: Aside from sanctioned energy corridors, India continues to settle the majority of its massive industrial import trade with China in US dollars.

3. New Members (BRICS+ Impact)

The integration of the UAE, Iran, and Egypt in 2024 injected a heavy volume of local-currency energy transactions into the mix. Iran and Russia trade almost exclusively in local rails, while the UAE and India regularly clear major oil shipments using the Rupee-Dirham mechanism.

The effect on foreign exchange reserves of India

The shift toward local currency trade settlements within BRICS has significantly strengthened India's overall foreign exchange position, helping push its forex reserves to a historic record high of $740.80 billion as of late August 2026.

Rather than draining its core reserves, the practice of bypassing the US dollar in specific trade corridors has acted as a defensive shield for the Reserve Bank of India (RBI). The main impacts on India's foreign exchange position include:

🛡️ 1. Conservation of Hard Currency (USD) Reserves

Traditionally, India had to buy US dollars to pay for essential commodities like oil, regardless of where they were purchased. By utilizing Special Rupee Vostro Accounts (SRVAs) and swapping directly with currencies like the UAE Dirham (AED) or Russian Ruble, India effectively dropped the dollar's share in its trade invoicing from 85% down to roughly 72%.

  • The Result: Billions of dollars that would have normally flowed out to pay for imports have been "conserved" inside India's central bank kitty. [1]

📉 2. Mitigation of Exchange Rate Volatility

When the US Federal Reserve adjusts interest rates or when global energy prices spike, the US dollar fluctuates wildly, making imports very expensive for emerging markets.

  • Settling trade in local currencies has insulated India from direct conversion losses and minimized the transaction costs of switching between native currencies and the dollar. 
  • It reduced the "dollar trap" effect, stabilizing the Indian Rupee against extreme market shocks even during volatile global macro cycles.

🏦 3. Absorption of Surplus into Sovereign Securities

A major concern during the early local-currency push was what foreign entities (like Russia) would do with an excess accumulation of Indian Rupees from trade imbalances.

 

  • The regulatory framework resolved this by allowing partner countries to invest their surplus trade rupees back into Indian Government Treasury Bills and G-Secs (Government Securities).

 

  • This effectively converted trade debt into interest-bearing domestic capital, stabilizing local bond yields and improving the RBI's internal balance-of-payments ledger.

 ⚖️ 4. Rebuilding a Massive Reserve Buffer

Complementing its trade-policy benefits, the shift provided the RBI with immense room to pivot from purely defensive market interventions. Combined with a blockbuster FCNR(B) swap facility introduced in mid-2026 to bring in NRI deposits, India completely reversed any previous rupee depreciation pressures. The record-high reserves now provide an import cover capable of comfortably sustaining the nation through more than 11 months of merchandise imports

The breakdown of Foreign Currency Assets (FCAs) vs. Gold inside the current $740B+ reserve

As per the official data released by the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) for the historic week ended August 28, 2026, India's total foreign exchange reserves climbed to an unprecedented $740.803 billion.

The exact mathematical breakdown between Foreign Currency Assets (FCAs), Gold, and the remaining multilateral assets is structured as follows:

📊 Component-Wise Breakdown (August 2026)

 

Reserve Component

Absolute Value (in USD)

Share of Total Reserves (%)

Foreign Currency Assets (FCAs)

$600.670 Billion

81.08%

Gold Reserves

$116.409 Billion

15.71%

Special Drawing Rights (SDRs)

$18.810 Billion

2.54%

Reserve Position in the IMF

$4.914 Billion

0.67%

Total Forex Reserves

$740.803 Billion

100.00%

 🔍 Key Insights on the Two Main Pillars

1. Foreign Currency Assets (FCAs): $600.67 Billion

Accounting for the lion's share of the vault, FCAs represent the financial ammunition India holds in foreign banknotes.

 

  • Composition: This includes investments in multi-nation sovereign treasury bills (predominantly US T-Bonds), deposits with foreign central banks, and highly liquid institutional assets. 
  • Valuation Impact: While the US Dollar is the dominant benchmark, FCAs explicitly capture the valuation effects of non-dollar units held by the RBI, meaning strength or depreciation in the Euro, British Pound, or Japanese Yen dynamically shifts this headline number.
  • Growth Driver: The massive scaling past the $600 billion mark was heavily supercharged by the RBI’s specialized FCNR(B) swap facility activated earlier in mid-2026, which successfully mobilized billions in fresh foreign-currency inflows from Non-Resident Indians (NRIs).

2. Gold Reserves: $116.41 Billion

Gold has grown into a highly prominent secondary anchor within India’s reserve framework.

 

  • Strategic Shield: The RBI has steadily accumulated physical gold as a core macro hedge against persistent global inflation, geopolitical friction, and currency volatility. 
  • The Value Surge: The value of the gold vault grew by a sharp $2.191 billion in a single week. This rapid dollar-value escalation highlights a dual trend: active physical accumulation by the central bank alongside a massive valuation tailwind from soaring global gold market spot prices

 

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